That ratio, roughly two agents for every sale, is a real forum-reported statistic about a crowded field. For a seller, it is an argument for choosing on track record, not on who reaches out first.
Run this answer against my numbers → No credit pull to start · No obligationA widely shared forum statistic puts San Diego County at roughly 20,000 licensed agents against about 10,000 properties sold in 2024, a ratio of two agents for every closed sale. That saturation is real, and it is exactly why a seller should choose an agent on documented results, not on convenience.
Each one is answered further down this page, and any one can move the outcome on a specific file.
A stored answer tells you how the rule works. It cannot tell you what your file supports, because it has never seen your file. That part gets run on your actual numbers, and you keep the written version either way.
Answered by Nick Nagy · 23 years · NMLS 314880 · CA DRE 01444600 · Mortgage financing through Loan Factory, 237 lenders · Run this answer against my numbers →
Part of the California Mortgage Answer Desk, and of the Clairemont questions.
A forum-reported figure puts San Diego County at approximately 20,000 real estate agents against roughly 10,000 properties sold in 2024, a rough two-to-one ratio between licensees and closed transactions. That is a striking number, and it is a forum estimate rather than an independently audited count, but the underlying dynamic, a large licensed population against a limited number of actual sales, matches what most people in this market already sense.
For a seller, the practical consequence is straightforward: a large share of licensed agents in the county are not closing many transactions in a given year. Being licensed and being an active, effective listing agent are not the same thing, and in a market this saturated the gap between them matters.
In a field this crowded, the agents worth working with are the ones who can point to a specific, recent, verifiable result rather than a general pitch. Adam King’s recent listing at 4674 Boxwood Dr, a 1,008 square foot house on a 9,100 square foot R-1 lot, went pending in 12 days, priced and positioned around its ADU-eligible lot value. That is a documented outcome, not a claim.
A seller comparing agents in this market is better served asking for that kind of specific, recent example than asking how many years someone has been licensed. Years licensed does not tell you whether an agent is one of the roughly 10,000 who closed a sale last year or one of the many who did not.
A useful screening question is simple: what did you sell recently, and what did that specific listing look like from list to pending. An agent who can answer with a real, recent property, timeline and pricing strategy is demonstrating exactly the track record that matters in a field this saturated.
This is worth pairing with the financing side of a sale, since a seller who is also buying their next home benefits from a lender and an agent who are actually coordinating the timeline, rather than treating the sale and the next purchase as two separate, disconnected events.
There are currently about 20,000 real estate agents in San Diego County. There were only about 10,000 properties sold in SD County in 2024…
Reddit r/realtors, captured 2026-08-10 (LH1 demand sweep)
If nobody gave a straight answer in that thread, that is not the person missing something. The answer depends on a specific file and a specific address.
23 years in California lending · NMLS 314880 · CA DRE 01444600 · Loan Factory, Inc.
Dual licensed, so the loan side and the real estate side of a move get looked at as one problem instead of two. Most of what goes wrong in a move is a timing problem wearing a financing costume, and it is cheaper to catch it before you write an offer than after.
One file, 237 lenders competing for it, and a broker who has done this for 23 years.
Loan Factory, Inc. is the brokerage. These are its published figures.
A retail bank has one guideline book. A broker shops the same file across the shelf and finds the lender whose box it already fits.
The follow-on questions, answered in the order they get asked.
That figure comes from a forum-reported statistic, not an independently audited count, and puts the number at roughly 20,000 licensed agents against about 10,000 properties sold countywide in 2024. Whether the exact numbers are precise, the underlying pattern, a large licensed population against a limited number of actual sales, is consistent with what most people in this market observe.
Ask for a specific, recent, documented result rather than a general pitch. An agent who can point to an actual listing, its timeline and its pricing strategy is showing you real evidence, which matters more in a field with roughly two licensed agents for every closed sale.
Not directly. What matters is the specific agent’s track record, not the total number of agents in the county. A well-positioned listing with the right agent can move quickly even in a saturated market, as a recent 12-day pending sale in this corridor shows.
Send the address or the listing link and what it costs, plus what it could become, comes back in writing.
A stored answer tells you how the rule works. The Clairemont Property Potential Check runs it on the property you are actually looking at, in writing, and you keep it either way.