Days on market rose 8.51% year over year while inventory fell. That combination is not a crash and it is not a boom. It is the first stretch in several years where a buyer here can ask for something and get it.
Run this answer against my numbers → No credit pull to start · No obligationWaiting for the perfect moment is a bet on two variables moving in your favor at the same time, and they historically move against each other. When rates fall, the buyers who were waiting come back and compete, which pushes prices up. Murrieta at 49 days on market gives you negotiating room today that a faster market does not.
Each one is answered further down this page, and any one can move the outcome on a specific file.
A stored answer tells you how the rule works. It cannot tell you what your file supports, because it has never seen your file. That part gets run on your actual numbers, and you keep the written version either way.
Answered by Nick Nagy · 23 years · NMLS 314880 · CA DRE 01444600 · Mortgage financing through Loan Factory, 237 lenders · Run this answer against my numbers →
Part of the California Mortgage Answer Desk, and of the Murrieta questions.
The instinct to wait is completely rational. Nobody wants to buy the month before a correction. The difficulty is that the two things a buyer wants, a lower rate and a soft market, rarely arrive together.
A lower rate brings back every buyer who has been sitting out, and they arrive at the same time, competing for the same inventory. That is what pushes prices and shortens negotiation. A slower market with higher rates is the one where a seller will look at a repair request or a credit toward closing costs. You can refinance a rate later. You cannot renegotiate a purchase price after the fact.
In the June 2026 Realtor.com snapshot, Murrieta showed a median listing price of $717K, 49 days on market, and a 100% sale to list price ratio. Days on market was up 8.51% year over year while inventory was down 4.69%.
Read that carefully, because it is a mixed picture rather than a simple one. Homes are taking longer to sell than they were a year ago, which favors a buyer. But there are fewer of them, and they are still closing at asking price, which does not. This is a market that has loosened, not one that has turned.
Temecula, immediately next door, was averaging far shorter market times in the same period. Murrieta at 49 days is materially slower than its neighbor, and that gap is the practical opening.
It means a Murrieta listing that has been sitting six or seven weeks has a seller who has already watched the first wave of interest pass. That is a different conversation from week one, and it is available right now without predicting anything about next year.
There is no version of this where someone hands you a date. What there is: a straight read on what your file supports today, at today’s pricing, with the actual payment written down rather than estimated.
If that number does not work, the answer is that waiting is correct, and that is a real answer rather than a stalling one. If it does work, then the slower market is the argument for moving rather than against it.
When will it ever be the best time to buy a house?
r/FirstTimeHomeBuyer, captured 2026-08-09
If nobody gave a straight answer in that thread, that is not the person missing something. The answer depends on a specific file and a specific address.
23 years in California lending · NMLS 314880 · CA DRE 01444600 · Loan Factory, Inc.
Dual licensed, so the loan side and the real estate side of a move get looked at as one problem instead of two. Most of what goes wrong in a move is a timing problem wearing a financing costume, and it is cheaper to catch it before you write an offer than after.
One file, 237 lenders competing for it, and a broker who has done this for 23 years.
Loan Factory, Inc. is the brokerage. These are its published figures.
A retail bank has one guideline book. A broker shops the same file across the shelf and finds the lender whose box it already fits.
The follow-on questions, answered in the order they get asked.
There is no date to wait for, because the two conditions buyers want tend to move against each other. When rates drop, sidelined buyers return and compete, which firms up prices and removes negotiating room. Murrieta at 49 days on market in June 2026, up 8.51% year over year, gives a buyer more room today than a faster market would.
Yes, per the June 2026 Realtor.com panel, which classed it a seller’s market at a 100% sale to list ratio. It has loosened rather than turned: days on market rose while inventory fell.
A rate can be refinanced later. A purchase price cannot be renegotiated after closing. If a lower rate brings competing buyers back to the same listings, the price gain can outweigh the rate saving.
Send the address or the listing link and every line of that payment comes back in writing.
A stored answer tells you how the rule works. The Murrieta True Payment Check runs it on the property you are actually looking at, in writing, and you keep it either way.