Prices down slightly from a year ago, up since January, and more listings coming onto the market. That is not a clear signal in either direction, which means the decision comes down to what selling actually gets you versus what keeping costs you.
Run this answer against my numbers → No credit pull to start · No obligationA market described as down almost 3% year over year, but up since January, with inventory climbing, is not handing sellers a clear verdict either way. The honest way through it is running your own numbers, what you would net, what the next move costs, against a market that is neither a boom nor a retreat.
Each one is answered further down this page, and any one can move the outcome on a specific file.
A stored answer tells you how the rule works. It cannot tell you what your file supports, because it has never seen your file. That part gets run on your actual numbers, and you keep the written version either way.
Answered by Nick Nagy · 23 years · NMLS 314880 · CA DRE 01444600 · Mortgage financing through Loan Factory, 237 lenders · Run this answer against my numbers →
Part of the California Mortgage Answer Desk, and of the Clairemont questions.
A description of San Diego prices being down almost 3% since last year but up since January, with inventory continuing to climb, is not a market that tells a seller what to do. It is a market in the middle of correcting from one direction and starting to move in another, which is exactly the condition where waiting for a clearer signal can cost more than it saves.
The instinct to wait for certainty is reasonable. The problem is that certainty in real estate usually arrives after the best window has already closed, once everyone else has read the same signal and acted on it together.
Rising inventory means more competition for a seller’s listing than there was a year ago. That does not mean a home will not sell. It means pricing and preparation matter more than they did when inventory was tighter, and it means a seller weighing "keep or sell" should factor in that the negotiating room a thin market gave sellers is fading.
That is a real argument for acting inside a known window rather than waiting to see if conditions tighten back up, since there is no guarantee they will.
Keep or sell is ultimately a comparison: what you would net from a sale today, against what staying costs you in opportunity, maintenance and whatever the next move would require if you did decide to go. Neither side of that comparison is complete without a real number attached to it.
For an owner who wants to move up rather than move away entirely, the sequencing question matters as much as the pricing question. A bridge structure can let the next purchase happen before this one sells, which changes "keep or sell" into a less binary decision. More on that is on the buy before you sell guide.
Keep or Sell in San Diego
Reddit r/RealEstate, captured 2026-08-10 (LH1 demand sweep)
If nobody gave a straight answer in that thread, that is not the person missing something. The answer depends on a specific file and a specific address.
23 years in California lending · NMLS 314880 · CA DRE 01444600 · Loan Factory, Inc.
Dual licensed, so the loan side and the real estate side of a move get looked at as one problem instead of two. Most of what goes wrong in a move is a timing problem wearing a financing costume, and it is cheaper to catch it before you write an offer than after.
One file, 237 lenders competing for it, and a broker who has done this for 23 years.
Loan Factory, Inc. is the brokerage. These are its published figures.
A retail bank has one guideline book. A broker shops the same file across the shelf and finds the lender whose box it already fits.
The follow-on questions, answered in the order they get asked.
A market described as down almost 3% year over year but up since January, with inventory climbing, does not give a clean signal either way. The decision comes down to your own numbers, what a sale would net today against what staying costs you, rather than waiting for the market to make the decision for you.
Prices down almost 3% year over year, while also up since January, is a mixed picture, not a clear downturn. Rising inventory means more competition for your listing than a year ago, which is a real argument for acting inside a known window rather than waiting for conditions to change.
Yes, and a bridge structure is how that gets done without a sale contingency. It lets your current home’s equity work for the new purchase before that home sells, which turns keep-or-sell into a less binary decision.
Send the address or the listing link and what it costs, plus what it could become, comes back in writing.
A stored answer tells you how the rule works. The Clairemont Property Potential Check runs it on the property you are actually looking at, in writing, and you keep it either way.